What will healthcare staffing need be in 10 years

 

While the US healthcare system represents around $3.5 trillion in annual spending and is the largest single sector of the overall economy, it also sits inside larger “macro trends” that help define the landscape of jobs. 

Factors to consider: globalization, the state of the general economy, the rapid pace of innovation, digitalization of medicine and genomic technology, and demographics of the U.S. population (e,g, aging population, and higher healthcare utilization) and changing values and beliefs. Also consider the role of Artificial Intelligence in “replacing” some jobs. For example IBM’s Watson can now make some diagnosis as well as or better than a third year medical resident including making wrong diagnoses that kill patients.

So what difference do all these big changes mean to us?

The answer is both obvious and complicated. I will answer the obvious part and leave the complicated part to you to explore. 

The obvious answer is that these big changes are changing the way we live our lives. Just think; it was not that long ago that classes on the internet were considered unusual or suspect. And now, such classes are the norm. 

The obvious part is that such factors as globalization, the economy, technology, an aging society, and changing cultural values are all working together to change pretty well everything that used to be — into something else. 

The hard part — and the part you need to think about — is what do all the changes really mean for healthcare? Not only what skills will you require in the future, but who will you be hiring and what role will they fulfill?

If we think that healthcare professionals will continue to do exactly what they are doing now over the next ten years then we are not paying attention to how much the work world has already changed from the way it was ten years ago (does anyone remember when you couldn’t text?).

So…

How will healthcare systems evolve to best leverage a global job market for their services? 

What will a growing share of healthcare dollars mean to the healthcare workforce in a stagnant or slow-growing general economy?

How will smartphones or other technologies create new jobs in healthcare? 

Will genomic research eliminate certain diseases by modifying a person’s DNA? What ethical issues might this raise? How this change will affect the workforce skill and volume demand? 

How will the massive chronic care needs of older people create new career opportunities? 

What new jobs may be created to best meet new consumer demands for more patient-focused care? Less institutionalization of the elderly? And better access to culturally appropriate caregivers? 

So what do you think? What human resources needs are you likely to be encountering – and managing — in ten or so years? Consider the questions above but develop your answer based on your own ideas and supporting evidence to present. 

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